Explanation

  • Means I don't know either.
  • Indicates that the speaker has no more information or insight into the answer or outcome than the person asking.

Origin

  • The phrase implies parity in ignorance.
  • My ability to guess the answer ('my guess') is no better than yours ('your guess'), so asking me is pointless – we are equally uninformed.
  • Became common around the mid-20th century.

Alternatives

Slang/Informal:

  • Dunno
  • Beats me
  • Search me
  • Haven't got a clue / Not a clue
  • Fuck knows (Vulgar) / Damned if I know
  • How should I know? (Can be slightly rude/defensive)

More Formal:

  • I'm afraid I don't know.
  • I don't have that information.
  • I am uncertain.
  • That is unclear at this time.

Situational Appropriateness

  • Appropriate in most situations, both informal and formal, as a common and generally polite way to express ignorance.

Misunderstanding Warnings

  • Generally straightforward. Ensure learners understand it's a fixed phrase meaning I don't know and not actually inviting the listener to provide their best guess as the definitive answer.

Examples

  • When will the train arrive? Your guess is as good as mine; the board just says 'delayed'.
  • Do you think it will rain tomorrow? Your guess is as good as mine. The forecast keeps changing.
  • What caused the power outage? Your guess is as good as mine.

Dialogue

Employee 1: Any idea why the internet is down?

Employee 2: Your guess is as good as mine. I tried restarting my computer, but nothing.

Employee 1: Okay, I'll call IT support then.

Social Media Examples

  • User asks: When is the new game patch coming out? Dev replies: Honestly, your guess is as good as mine right now. Working hard on it! #GameDev #Updates
  • Trying to predict stock market moves? Your guess is as good as mine. 🤷‍♂️ #Investing #MarketVolatility

Response Patterns

  • Acceptance of shared ignorance: Okay, fair enough., Right, well, we'll see then., Hmm, annoying.
  • Suggesting next steps: Maybe we should check the website?, Shall we just wait?
  • Shared speculation: Well, I guess it could be...

Common Follow-up Questions/Actions

Since it establishes that the speaker doesn't know, logical follow-ups involve:

  • Suggesting ways to find the answer (Let's ask someone else., Maybe check online?).
  • Accepting the uncertainty (Okay, we'll just have to wait and see.).
  • Ending that line of inquiry (Alright then.).

Conversation Starter

  • No. It's always a response to a question where the answer is unknown.

Intonation

  • Usually said with a slightly resigned or helpless tone, often accompanied by a shrug.
  • Relatively flat intonation, maybe slight stress on your and mine to highlight the comparison.
  • YOUR guess is as good as MINE.

Generation Differences

  • Widely used and understood by all generations.

Regional Variations

  • Common in all major English-speaking regions.
Wouldn't touch it with a ten-foot pole